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以辽宁省1956~2008年产业结构与经济增长的关系为研究对象,利用回归模型及格兰杰因果关系检验进行了定量分析。研究结果表明,辽宁省第二产业对经济增长的拉动作用最大,第三产业次之,第一产业最小;辽宁省经济增长短期内能够拉动第二产业发展,长期内能够拉动第三产业发展;第一产业发展能够拉动第二、三产业发展,短期内第三产业发展能够拉动第二产业发展,长期内第二产业发展能够拉动第三产业发展。
Taking the relationship between industrial structure and economic growth of Liaoning Province from 1956 to 2008 as the research object, the quantitative analysis was conducted by regression model and Granger causality test. The results show that the secondary industry in Liaoning Province has the most effect on economic growth, the tertiary industry plays the second and the first industry is the smallest. In the short term, the economic growth in Liaoning Province can promote the development of the secondary industry and promote the development of the tertiary industry in the long term. The development of the first industry will drive the development of the second and third industries. In the short term, the development of the tertiary industry will drive the development of the second industry. In the long term, the development of the second industry will boost the development of the tertiary industry.