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2006～2008年中国石油安全指标测度结果显示,总体上石油安全性略有上升,其中石油消费强度和消费增长速度有所降低,运输通道可靠性增强,储量接替率提高,战略石油储备天数增加,石油进口来源地增多。但是,石油进口集中度提高,储采比不断下降,价格波动逐年增大。此外,石油进口依存度、战略石油储备度、能源可转换与替代度仍处于“不安全”状况。本文认为实现石油安全乃至经济安全的根本是发展新能源和可再生能源,走“能源-环境-经济”的协调发展之路。
The results of China’s petroleum safety indicators from 2006 to 2008 show that the oil safety generally shows a slight increase, with the decrease of petroleum consumption intensity and consumption growth rate, the increase of reliability of transportation corridors, the increase of reserve replacement rate, the increase of strategic oil reserve days, Increased sources of oil imports. However, the concentration of oil imports increased, the ratio of reserves to production declined continuously, and the price fluctuations increased year by year. In addition, the degree of dependence on oil imports, the degree of strategic oil reserves, and the degree of energy convertibility and substitution are still in an “unsafe” condition. This paper argues that the fundamental to achieve oil security and even economic security is to develop new energy and renewable energy and follow the path of coordinated development of “energy-environment-economy”.