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对于1999年的国内消费市场,人们可以看到一个颇有意思的现象:有许多消费亮点,但却没有消费热点。 这些消费亮点不仅给老百姓提高生活质量带来机会,增添了中国人生活中的光彩,更令急于通过扩大内需促进经济增长的政府喜出忘外。事实上,许多消费亮点的形成,都是在国家采取一系列积极的政策措施后才亮起来的。比如住房消费,国家进行了公有住房分配货币化改革,加快了商品房的建设,推出了适合中低收入人群的经济适用房工程;又比如教育消费,国家改革了教育收费制度,扩大了高校招生的数量,放宽了对社会力量集资办教育的限制;再比如国家出台了延长节假日的规定,拉动了旅游消费,等等。应当说,国家的这些努力是去年消费亮点出现的主要原因。当然也有例外,比如体育休闲消费,就颇有“无心插柳柳成荫”的味道。 然而,这些亮点最终未能如人们所愿在去年转化为消费热点,尤其是人们寄予厚望的住房、轿车等等。亮点未能变成热点的原因有许多,比如城乡居民可支配收入水平的增长幅度和人们的消费预期心理等,我们在组织这个专题时,几乎所有接受采访的人士都提到这方面的原因。但如果把问题完全归到这个原因上,则有一叶障目之嫌,因为收入水平的提高和消费预期心理的改善都只能是逐步的,这是?
For the domestic consumer market in 1999, one can see an interesting phenomenon: there are many consumer highlights, but no consumer hot spots. These consumptive bright spots not only bring opportunities for people to improve the quality of life, they have added luster to the Chinese people’s lives but also eclipsed the government anxious to boost economic growth through expanding domestic demand. In fact, many consumer highlights formed only after the state adopted a series of pro-active policy measures. For example, housing consumption, the state carried out the monetization of public housing distribution reform, accelerating the construction of commercial housing, introduced affordable housing for low-income groups of affordable housing projects; another example, education and consumption, the state reform of educational fees, expanding enrollment of colleges and universities The number of relaxed social education fund-raising restrictions; another example, the state promulgated the provisions of the extension of holidays, driving tourism spending, and so on. It should be said that these efforts by the state are the main reasons for the bright spot in consumption last year. Of course, there are exceptions, such as sports and leisure consumption, there is quite “unintentional Willow shade” flavor. However, these bright spots eventually failed to be converted into consumer hot spots last year, especially for houses, cars, etc. with high hopes. There are many reasons why bright spots have not become hot spots, such as the growth rate of disposable income of urban and rural residents and the expected psychology of people’s consumption. In organizing this special issue, almost all interviewees mentioned this reason. However, if the problem is completely attributed to this reason, there is a fallacy because the improvement of the level of income and the expected psychological improvement of consumption can only be gradual. This is?