根据气象条件作黄河长期径流预报的研究

• 作 者: 陈坤
• 机 构: 黄河水利委员会水文处,
• 出 处: 黄河建设
• 发表日期: 1964年11期
• 关键词: 径流预报 大气活动中心 东亚大气环流 环流指数 西伯利亚高压 黑石关 环流形势 气候振动 大气环流型 冬半年

随着治黄事业的发展及沿河工农业建设的需要,对黄河长期径流预报提出了迫切的要求。1960年以来,我们对于黄河径流与大气活动中心以及东亚大气环流的关系进行了研究,井获得了一些初步成果。实际作业预报表明,总的径流趋势预测还是令人满意的。为了进一步提高黄河长期径流预报,兹将工作中的一些经验体会介绍于后,希同志们指正。

With the development of governance projects and the needs of industrial and agricultural development along the river, urgent requirements have been put forward for the long-term runoff forecast of the Yellow River. Since 1960, we have studied the relationship between the Yellow River runoff and atmospheric activity center and the circulation of East Asia, and achieved some preliminary results. The actual operational forecast shows that the total runoff forecast is still satisfactory. In order to further improve the long-term runoff forecasting of the Yellow River, we hereby introduce some of our experience in the work later and hope Comrade Xi correct me.