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本文选取2008～2010年东、中、西部省市级18座代表城市的季度数据并运用面板数据模型,考察了金融危机对中国经济的影响。研究表明,出口额、实际利用外资、社会总消费水平对中国经济增长的相关关系为正数,但是出口额与实际利用外资对经济增长的贡献远不及社会总消费水平对中国经济增长贡献。因此得出,金融危机爆发后,中国经济主要依靠政府政策性调控,然而以政府为主导的经济增长方式并不利于经济的长期稳定发展。
This paper selects the quarterly data of 18 representative cities in the eastern, central and western provinces from 2008 to 2010 and uses the panel data model to examine the impact of the financial crisis on China’s economy. The research shows that the correlation between export volume, actual utilized foreign capital and total social consumption level is positive to China’s economic growth, but the contribution of export volume and actually utilized foreign capital to economic growth is far less than the contribution of total social consumption level to China’s economic growth. Therefore, after the outbreak of the financial crisis, China’s economy mainly relies on government policy and regulation. However, the government-led economic growth mode is not conducive to long-term economic stability.