论文部分内容阅读
为界定工业用地合理规模,明确合理、不合理工业用地规模扩张的驱动力,科学管控工业用地供给,本文从地方政府工业用地供给追求经济增长的现实目标出发,对工业用地规模扩张进行考察,采用2001-2012年山东省地级市层面的数据,利用门限回归模型对各地级市工业用地规模的合理性进行了分析。同时,对合理、不合理的工业用地规模扩张的驱动力进行了分类实证研究。研究结果表明:1山东省不合理的工业用地规模总体呈下降的趋势,由2001年的212.03 km2下降至2012年的100.74 km2;不合理工业用地规模占工业用地规模总量的比重由2001年的46.49%下降至2012年的9.19%;不合理工用地主要集中在山东省西部和南部地区;2合理的工业用地规模扩张主要源于经济、人口因素的驱动,不合理的工业用地扩张主要源于财税制度、地方官员政绩考核体系等制度因素的驱动;3调控工业用地规模应保证土地—资本配置关系处于合理区间,以财政及官员晋升考核制度改革为基础手段。
In order to define the reasonable scale of industrial land, clarify the driving force of rational and unreasonable expansion of industrial land, and control the supply of industrial land scientifically, this paper examines the scale expansion of industrial land from the realistic goal of local government to supply industrial land for economic growth. According to the data of prefecture-level cities in Shandong Province from 2001 to 2012, the rationality of the scale of industrial land in all prefecture-level cities was analyzed by using the threshold regression model. At the same time, the author makes a classification empirical research on the driving force of rational and unreasonable expansion of industrial land. The results show that: (1) The scale of unreasonable industrial land in Shandong Province tends to decrease from 212.03 km2 in 2001 to 100.74 km2 in 2012; the proportion of unreasonable industrial land to total land for industrial use has dropped from 2001 46.49% down to 9.19% in 2012; irrational use of land mainly in western and southern Shandong Province; 2 the rational expansion of industrial land mainly due to economic and demographic factors driven by unreasonable expansion of industrial land mainly due to fiscal System, the performance evaluation system of local officials and other institutional factors; 3 Regulation of industrial land should ensure that the size of the land - capital allocation in a reasonable range of fiscal and official promotion examination system reform as the basic means.