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随着生活的改善,人民对环境的要求不断提高,要求能源优质化、洁净化。天然气作为一种低污染、高热值能源,已被人们广泛应用到日常生活、工业中。特别是近几年全球天然气消费量达到顶峰。然而天然气的供需不平衡,只能满足能源需求的低速增长[2]。天然气的产量预测和消费预测显得至关重要。对天然气消费进行预测,可为天然气开采和管道铺设方面提供依据,避免或减少决策失误。国内外众多专家做了大量天然气的消费预测方面的研究,提出了一系列预测方法。本文针对于天然气的消费预测理论不足之处,提出了最小二乘法预测天然气消费量理论。
With the improvement of living standards, the people’s requirements for the environment are constantly improving, requiring the energy to be of high quality and cleanliness. As a kind of low pollution and high calorific value energy, natural gas has been widely used in daily life and industry. In particular, the global consumption of natural gas has peaked in recent years. However, the imbalance between supply and demand of natural gas can only meet the low-speed growth of energy demand [2]. Natural gas production forecasting and consumer forecasting is crucial. Predicting natural gas consumption can provide the basis for natural gas exploration and pipeline laying to avoid or reduce mistakes in decision-making. Many experts at home and abroad have done a lot of research on the consumption forecast of natural gas and put forward a series of forecast methods. In this paper, in view of the deficiencies of natural gas consumption prediction theory, the least square method is proposed to predict natural gas consumption theory.