1983年日本经济展望

• 作 者: 松永嘉夫\\r\\r\\r\\r\\r\\r\\r\\r\\n 高作宾
• 出 处: 国外社会科学
• 发表日期: 1983年07期
• 关键词: 日本经济 经济展望 石油危机 经济衰退 必经过程 假说 基础指标 经济时 需求不足 赤字国债

(一)1982年日本经济的遗留问题1981年的日本经济是缓慢发展的。反之,1982年的日本经济则是衰退的。经济衰退的原因是:1)1981年上半年的个人消费虽然有所增加,但下半年又转向减少。自石油危机以来,个人消费的增减,变成了景气变化的必经过程。2)输出急剧减少。贸易黑字、日元贬值、岁入不足的现象仍未消失。在输出锐减的同时,输入也在锐减,与1981年同期相比几乎没有变化。1982年的岁入不足比

(A) the legacy of the Japanese economy in 1982 Japan’s economy in 1981 was slow development. On the contrary, the Japanese economy of 1982 was in recession. The reasons for the economic downturn are: 1) Although personal consumption in the first half of 1981 increased somewhat, it turned to decrease in the second half of the year. Since the oil crisis, the change in personal consumption has become a necessary course of economic change. 2) The output is drastically reduced. Trade black, the devaluation of the yen, the lack of annual income has not disappeared. At the same time as the output plummeted, the input was also sharply decreasing, almost unchanged from the same period in 1981. In 1982, the deficit ratio