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本文是[1]的继续,文中在美国Rand公司创立的Delphi方法的基础上,融合了KJ(川喜田二郎)方法和国外成果,利用新兴边缘学科、模糊数学、灰色系统理论、物元分析、创造工程学、思维科学、行为科学等思路,提出了模糊、灰色、物元空间决策系统。本系统可以理解为Delphi方法推广和延伸,可直接应用于预测、决策、综合评判、管理科学、系统工程等领域。
This article is the continuation of [1]. Based on the Delphi method founded by Rand Company in the United States, this paper combines the KJ (Kawanishi Jiro) method with foreign achievements and uses the emerging edge disciplines, fuzzy mathematics, gray system theory, matter element analysis and creation Engineering, thinking science, behavioral science and other ideas, put forward fuzzy, gray, matter-element space decision-making system. The system can be understood as the extension and extension of the Delphi method can be directly applied to forecasting, decision-making, comprehensive evaluation, management science, systems engineering and other fields.