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今年以来,中国经济快速增长,呈现出一些过热的迹象。其中,固定资产投资增速过快,货币信贷增长较快,单位 GDP 能耗不降反升,工业产值和内需双双增长,贸易顺差快速增加,CPI 受到成本推动、需求推动和价格机制改革的多重影响反弹。央行通过加息、公开市场操作、发行特别票据和两次提高存款准备金率等方式加大了宏观调控的力度,但仍然未能有效地解决经济发展中的根本问题。在2004年经济过热时,作者曾提出,宏观调控要着眼根本,央行不宜急于加息。如今,作者再次建议,在
Since the beginning of this year, the rapid economic growth in China has shown some signs of overheating. Among them, the rapid growth of investment in fixed assets, rapid growth of monetary credit, energy consumption per unit of GDP did not fall, industrial output and domestic demand both increased, the trade surplus increased rapidly, CPI was cost-push, demand-driven and price mechanism reform multiple Affect the rebound. The central bank has stepped up its macro-control efforts by raising interest rates, opening up market operations, issuing special notes and twice raising the deposit reserve ratio, but it still failed to effectively solve the fundamental problems in its economic development. When the economy was overheated in 2004, the author once pointed out that macroeconomic regulation and control should focus on the foundation and the central bank should not rush to raise interest rates. Now, the author suggests again, at