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本文是《复杂震源系统的非线性阶段和大地震予报》一文的续文。主要应用现代统计物理学中分数维的观点论述复杂震源系统非线性阶段的多层次性以及不同层次间的自相似无限镶嵌特征。根据这一特征利用测震学指标中有明确显示的蠕变曲线突然加速的拐点得到的第一个非线性层次可逐级推算其以下的各非线性层次,其推算公式为: 式中C为某一地区孕震时间T与第一层次非线性时段T_2之比,这是一个统计值,是根据不同地区的大震统计得到的,C值基本上稳定在5左右。根据上面的公式求得的各非线性层次以及所伴随的前兆异常可进行比较确定的中期和短临地震预报。
This article is a continuation of the article “Nonlinear Phase of Complex Source Systems and Earthquake Retribution.” This paper mainly discusses the multi-level of nonlinear phase of complex focal source system and the self-similar inlaid mosaic between different levels from the viewpoint of fractal dimension in modern statistical physics. According to this feature, the first non-linear level obtained by abruptly accelerating the inflection point of the seismogram indicator which is clearly shown in the seismological indicator can be used to calculate each of the following nonlinear levels step by step. The calculation formula is as follows: C = The ratio of seismogenic time T to the first-level nonlinear time T_2 in a certain area is a statistical value obtained from the statistics of large earthquakes in different areas. The value of C is basically stable at around 5. Relatively determined mid-term and short-term earthquakes can be predicted from each nonlinear level obtained from the above formula and the associated precursor anomaly.