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连续几个月来,美国公布的各项经济指标好坏参半,导致人们对美国经济前景的看法大相迳庭。悲观派认为,美国现时经济的上升轨迹已到顶,1989年不可避免地要出现经济衰退;乐观派认为,美国现时经济张力依然强劲,有可能再保持2—3年的经济增长。那么到底1989年美国经济发展前景如何。特别是布什新政府的经济政策将给香港带来一些什么影响,本文就这些问题谈一些疏浅的认识。(一) 不少分析人士认为,布什政府是否真会完全沿着里根政府
For months in a row, the various economic indicators released by the United States have been mixed, leading to disagreements about the economic outlook of the United States. The pessimist believes that the current upward trajectory of the United States has reached its peak. The economic recession inevitably occurred in 1989; optimists believe that the current economic tension in the United States remains strong and it is possible to maintain another 2-3 years of economic growth. So in the end 1989 the United States economic development prospects. In particular, what influence the economic policy of the new Bush administration will bring to Hong Kong? This article talks about some shallow understandings on these issues. (I) Many analysts believe that the Bush administration will really follow the Reagan administration