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在对经济增长与环境保护的互动机制进行分析的基础上,运用向量自回归模型,对我国2000~2014年的经济增长与环境保护的协同演进关系进行分析。结果表明:(1)环保与经济增长之间存在长期的协同演进关系,随着时间的推移,环境保护对经济增长的正向影响逐渐加强,而经济增长对环境保护的影响则呈现非定向态势;(2)在我国经济体量巨大而环保投入较低的情况下,环境保护对经济增长冲击的反应比经济增长对环保冲击的反应更加明显;(3)经济增长与往期经济增长水平存在密切相关性,环境保护也主要受经济增长而非自身的影响。增加环保投入、推进环境保护市场化进程等是促进环境保护和推动经济增长的主要手段。
Based on the analysis of the interaction mechanism between economic growth and environmental protection, this paper analyzes the synergistic evolution of economic growth and environmental protection in China from 2000 to 2014 by using vector autoregressive model. The results show that: (1) there is a long-term synergistic relationship between environmental protection and economic growth. With the passage of time, the positive impact of environmental protection on economic growth gradually strengthens, while the impact of economic growth on environmental protection shows a non-directional trend ; (2) Under the circumstances that the volume of economy in our country is huge and the input of environmental protection is low, the response of environmental protection to economic growth impact is more obvious than the response of economic growth to environmental impact; (3) The economic growth and the level of economic growth in previous years exist Closely related, environmental protection is also mainly affected by economic growth rather than its own. Increasing investment in environmental protection and promoting the marketization of environmental protection are the major means of promoting environmental protection and promoting economic growth.