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梁漱溟上世纪80年代询问:“这个世界会好吗?”在他之前20年,罗素也如此询问:“人类明天会怎样?”现在,轮到我们这一代人询问了。我的回答是:这个世界不会更好,因为它的总趋势是官僚化,而且,官僚化的最终结局是种群内部革命或种群整体灭亡。这个世界的官僚化过程,恰如一颗螺丝钉,从它的第一环开始,就注定了要有这样一个归宿。不过,社会的官僚化,要比渐渐拧紧一颗螺丝钉复杂得多,它是哈耶克论述的复杂现象的一种。当我们都茫然无知的
Liang Shuming asked in the 1980s: “Will this world be fine?” For the first two decades prior to his stay, Russell asked: “What will mankind do tomorrow?” Now it is our turn to question this generation. My answer is: The world will not be better because its general trend is bureaucratization, and the ultimate outcome of bureaucratization is the total internal revolution in the population or the total demise of the herd. The world’s bureaucratic process, just as a screw, from its first ring, it is doomed to have such a destination. However, the bureaucratization of society is far more complicated than the tightening of a screw, which is one of the complexities discussed by Hayek. When we are all ignorant