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2012年以来我国物价温和上涨,各月居民消费价格涨幅小幅回落,1-11月累计同比上涨2.7%。预计全年CPI上涨2.6%,PPI下降1.7%。展望2013年,国内外经济复苏乏力、粮食丰收、房地产调控累积效应逐步显现和翘尾因素减弱等将抑制物价涨幅;但宽松的货币环境、猪肉价格进入新一轮上涨周期、资源价格改革稳步推进、劳动力成本上升和输入性通胀压力增强等因素将推高物价涨幅。综合考虑各种因素,初步预计2013年CPI上涨3.0%,PPI上涨0.5%。物价调控的重点是资源价格改革和服务于经济结构调整。
Since 2012, China’s commodity prices have risen modestly, and the monthly consumer price increases have slightly eased up from January to November, up 2.7% YoY. CPI is expected to rise 2.6% throughout the year, PPI down 1.7%. Looking forward to 2013, the economic recovery at home and abroad will be sluggish. The cumulative effect of grain harvest and real estate regulation and control and the weaker hikes will curb price increases. However, the loose monetary environment and pork prices have entered a new cycle of upward spiral and the price reform has been steadily advancing , Rising labor costs and import inflation pressures and other factors will push up price increases. Taking all factors into consideration, the CPI for 2013 is initially expected to rise by 3.0% and the PPI by 0.5%. The focus of price control is resource price reform and service in the economic restructuring.