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本文采用ARCH类模型分析了近年来成都市猪肉价格数据,结果表明:成都市猪肉价格具有的“记忆性”与“杠杆性”两个特点。在分析成都市猪肉价格波动原因的基础上,本文提出了应对猪肉价格大幅波动的对策。
In this paper, ARCH class model was used to analyze the price data of pork in Chengdu in recent years. The results showed that pork price in Chengdu has two characteristics of “memory” and “leverage”. Based on the analysis of the reason of pork price fluctuation in Chengdu, this paper puts forward some countermeasures to deal with the sharp fluctuation of pork price.