论文部分内容阅读
枝术性贸易壁垒(TBT)是抑制我国茶叶出口的最主要障碍。本文根据美国、日本和欧盟的最近10的茶叶进口数据利用计量软件Eviews实证分析,得出TBT与我国茶叶出口的数量、金额存在明显的负相关关系,其影响程度较其他因素也具有更强烈的显著性,其中TBT每增加1单位权重,我国茶叶出口数量将减少4476．960t,出口金额将损失209．6755万美元。所以欧盟硫丹新标准的12个月缓冲期之后和日本2006年5月29日正式实施肯定列表制度,2006年,我国出口到欧盟和日本的茶叶,预计将会减少859．392t和447．696t。
Technical Barrier TBT (TBT) is to curb the most important obstacle to China’s tea exports. Based on the empirical analysis of the Eviews of Eaves tea use data in the United States, Japan and the EU recently, the author concludes that there is a significant negative correlation between TBT and the quantity and amount of tea exports in China, and the degree of influence is more intense than other factors Significant, TBT for each additional weight of 1 unit, the number of tea exports in China will be reduced 4476.960t, the amount of the export loss of 2,096,675 US dollars. Therefore, the EU endosulfan new 12-month buffer period and Japan on May 29, 2006 formal implementation of the positive list system, in 2006, China’s exports to the EU and Japan’s tea is expected to be reduced by 859.392t and 447.696t .