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在蚕业科学研究和生产管理过程中,如何对于某一待处理事件选择最优对策,常规的方法是根据单一目标来决策。但由于客观事件与其对策所组成的局势,往往可用多项目标来考核,而且各个目标依其不同的经济性质而各有优劣。这样,根据不同目标所提出的待选局势进行决策,难免有其局限性,甚至有互为对立之处,增加了决策的难度。当然,如果是富有经验的决策者,可以综合权衡各种局势的利弊,作出较为客观的决策,一般亦能取得良好效果。但经验性决策最大的弊病,是带有某种程度上的主观片面性,并只能作定性决策。
In the process of sericulture scientific research and production management, how to choose the best countermeasure for a pending event, the conventional method is to make decisions according to a single goal. However, due to the situation constituted by objective events and their countermeasures, multiple objectives can often be used to assess each target, and each target has its own advantages and disadvantages depending on its different economic characteristics. In this way, making decisions based on the pending targets raised by different targets will inevitably have its own limitations and even oppose each other, increasing the difficulty of making decisions. Of course, in the case of an experienced decision-maker, we can weigh the pros and cons of various situations comprehensively and make more objective decisions. Generally speaking, we can also achieve good results. However, the biggest drawback of empirical decision-making is to some extent subjective one-sidedness and can only make qualitative decisions.