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研究以辽宁地震地质区域划分为基础,运用概率论原理分析辽宁地区地震的特征.研究表明地震是一个随机事件流,并且近似服从泊松分布规律,在此基础上建立地震监测预警数学模型.以2006年1月至2011年12月辽宁地震监测数据为依据进一步实证研究,表明该数学模型得出的地震预测预警结果具有较高的理论价值和实用价值.
Based on the division of seismic geology in Liaoning Province, this paper analyzes the characteristics of the earthquake in Liaoning Province by using the theory of probability theory. The study shows that the earthquake is a random event flow and follows the law of Poisson distribution. Based on this, a mathematical model of earthquake monitoring and early warning is established. From January 2006 to December 2011, the earthquake monitoring data of Liaoning Province are used as a further empirical study, which shows that the earthquake prediction and early warning results obtained by the mathematical model have a high theoretical value and practical value.