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“如果明天,我国某地发生10年前唐山那样的大地震,能不能作出准确的预报?”这是一个假设,但是我相信,这也是许多人关心的问题.记者带着这样的疑问,走访了国家地震局,一连串发人深思的数字在国家地震局一间会议室里,分析预报中心第一研究室主任高旭给我念了一长串令人震惊的数字.“从1977年到1985年,全世界发生了155次7级以上的大地震,加上今年上半年的5次(也是7级以上),9年中共160次.不过,迄今没有一个国家的地震部门作出过短临预报.”所谓短临预报,是指对几个月内(短期)和几天内(临震)发生的地震的时间、地点、震级作出的预报.显然,对于防震来说,短临预报是至关重要的.接着,他谈起我国近几年的地震情
“If Tomorrow, somewhere in our country occurred 10 years ago, Tangshan that earthquakes, can make accurate forecasts?” This is an assumption, but I believe this is a lot of people concerned about the reporter with such questions, visit A series of thought-provoking figures from the State Seismological Bureau In a meeting room of the State Seismological Bureau, Gao Xu, the director of the first research laboratory of the Analysis and Forecasting Center, read a long list of shocking numbers to me. “From 1977 to 1985 In 1995, 155 earthquakes of magnitude 7 and above occurred in the world, plus five (or more than seven) in the first half of this year and 160 in nine years, however, no seismic sector in any country so far has made any short-term prediction ”The so-called short-term forecast refers to the forecast of the time, place and magnitude of an earthquake occurring in a few months (short term) and a few days (temporary earthquake) Obviously, short-term forecasts are Then he talked about the earthquake situation in our country in recent years