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天则经济研究所近日发布的三季度宏观经济形势分析报告认为,今年以来,中国经济出现了强劲增长的势头,前三个季度GDP增长8.5％,但消费物价只出现了0.7％的轻微上升。如果以传统眼光来看,这似乎达到了理论上的佳境。但经济运行中的矛盾和失衡也很明显,并潜藏着不小的风险。特别是与投资高速增长随之而来的货币供应和银行贷款快速增长,引发了经济是否过热的争论。因此,目前出现的并不是传统意义上的经济过热,而是一种投资推动的生产过剩,如果要说过热
According to the third quarter macroeconomic situation analysis report released by the Japan Institute of Economic Research recently, China’s economy has shown strong growth this year. In the first three quarters, its GDP increased by 8.5%, but only a slight increase of 0.7% in consumer prices. This seems to have reached the theoretical nirvana if viewed from the traditional perspective. However, the contradictions and imbalances in the economic operation are also obvious, and no small risks are hidden. In particular, the rapid growth in money supply and bank lending that comes with rapid investment growth has triggered a debate over whether the economy is overheating. So what is happening now is not the economic overheating in the traditional sense but an overinvestment driven by investment,