基于协整的影响我国碳排放因素的模型研究

• 作 者: 迟远英 牛东晓 沈滢 刘志
• 机 构: 华北电力大学,北京102206;华北电力大学，北京102206;华北电力大学,北京,102206
• 出 处: 华东电力
• 发表日期: 2010年5期
• 关键词: co-integrated carbon emission population size per capita GDP energy intensity

人口规模、人均GDP和技术进步是影响二氧化碳排放的重要因素,基于协整理论建立相关排放模型,并对上述因素对我国碳排放的影响展开分析,结果显示：人口规模对我国碳排放的影响作用最大,而通过技术进步提高能源效率、改变能源结构则是减缓碳排放的重要手段。“,”Population size,per capita GDP and technological progress are important factors affecting the carbon dioxide emissions.So the analysis models of factors influencing the carbon dioxide emission in China were established based on the co-integrated methods.Results showed that population size had the greatest effect on carbon emissions,while improving energy efficiency and changing energy structure through technological advances were important means to reduce carbon emissions.