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运用文献资料、数理统计和逻辑分析法,在洲、国家、项目3个层次上勾画现代竞技体育优势转移的路线,分析其转移的规律和影响因素,提出我国竞技体育的战略抉择。研究认为,现代竞技体育优势越来越分散;优势的获取受地理和人口环境的影响日趋突出;国家传统体育项目的水平决定着该国竞技优势的走向;现代竞技体育优势国家在项目优势上表现出鲜明的民族和文化特色等。影响现代竞技体育优势转移的因素主要有:民族文化与体育认知,政治环境与体育体制,经济水平与体育投入,国土面积与人口数量,国际竞技体育总体发展水平和以奥运会为代表的竞技体育赛事的发展变化。
Using the methods of literature, statistics and logic analysis, this article sketches the route of the modern athletics superiority transfer on the three levels of the continent, country and project, analyzes the rules and influencing factors of the transfer, and puts forward the strategic choice of our athletics. The research thinks that the advantage of modern competitive sports is getting more and more scattered. The gain of advantage is increasingly influenced by the geographical and population environment. The level of the national traditional sports determines the trend of the country’s competitive advantage. The advantage of modern competitive sports is reflected in the superiority of the project A distinctive national and cultural characteristics. The main factors influencing the transfer of advantages of modern competitive sports are: national culture and sports cognition, political environment and sports system, economic level and sports investment, land area and population, the overall development level of international competitive sports and the competitive sports represented by the Olympic Games The development of the game changes.