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本文首先指出了在现代战争中防空导弹的平均击毁概率是很低的,其主要原因在于战场实际目标与电磁环境特性和设计者假定的理想情况相差甚远。接着从预测九十年代战场情景出发,提出了将构成对防空导弹严重威胁的六种技术,即遥控无人机、反辐射导弹、隐身飞机、地形跟随/地形回避、大功率相控阵干扰机和诱饵。最后,作为防空导弹制导系统的对策,文中提出几个带方向性的建议,希望引起人们的关注。
This paper first points out that the average probability of airsaving anti-aircraft missiles in modern warfare is very low, mainly due to the fact that the actual target of the battlefield is far from the ideal situation assumed by the designer and the electromagnetic environment. Then from the forecast of the battle scene in the nineties, six technologies that pose a serious threat to air defense missiles are proposed, namely remote drone, anti-radiation missiles, stealth aircraft, terrain following / terrain avoidance, high power phased array jammer And bait. Finally, as a countermeasure of air defense missile guidance system, several suggestions with directionality are put forward in the paper, hoping to arouse people’s attention.