华中区域地面温度变化的模拟评估及其未来情景预估

来源 :第八届全国优秀青年气象科技工作者学术研讨会 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户：aaalxf

【摘要】

：

利用WCRP的耦合模式比较计划-阶段3的多模式数据(CMIP数据),模拟分析基于A2、A1B、B1情景下华中区域2011-2100年平均温度的可能变化,结果表明:模式模拟的结果可较好的反映出温度线性变化趋势.模拟冬季增温速率略高于夏季,但夏季增温速率与观测序列呈相反变化趋势;总体能模拟出华中区域地面气温线性趋势的空间分布特征,但模拟数值上偏高.三种情景下21世纪末华中区域平均温度的增幅(相对于19

【作者】

：

任永建刘敏肖莺万素琴孙善磊

【机构】

：

武汉区域气候中心,武汉430074 南京信息工程大学气象灾害省部共建教育部重点实验室,南京2100

【出处】

：

第八届全国优秀青年气象科技工作者学术研讨会

【发表日期】

：

2014年5期

【关键词】

：

地面温度气候变化空间模拟能力情景预估

下载到本地 , 更方便阅读

下载此文赞助VIP

声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架

论文部分内容阅读

其他文献

Lightning attachment process involving connection of the downward negative leader to the lateral sur

High-speed video camera records, with a temporal resolution of 20 μs and a spatial resolution of 2.4 m per pixel, of a downward negative lightning flash that terminated on a 440 m high building are ex

会议

Lightning dischargeLightning attachment processDownward leaderUpward connecti

Transition of the annual cycle of precipitation from double-peak mode to single-peak mode in South C

会议

Intense atmospheric pollution modifies weather: a case of mixed biomass burning with fossil fuel com

The influence of air pollutants, especially aerosols, on regional and global climate has been widely investigated, but only a very limited number of studies report their im pacts on everyday weather.I

会议

An Observational Study of the Hygroscopic Properties of Aerosols over the Pearl River Delta Region

Hygroscopic growth can significantly affect size distribution and activation of aerosol particles, as well as their effects on human health, atmospheric visibility, and climate.In this study, a H-TDMA

会议

H-TDMAaerosol hygroscopicityurban aerosolhazePearl River Delta

全媒体时代科普作品之策划

本文从策划新的科普图书时，涉及相关知识点，可以直接调用资源库中的内容资源，形成新的图书或专题；全方位策划，使科普作品形式更加多样化；找准读者定位，形成交互式的服务；利用全媒体，使科普作品的传播更加立体化。几方面研究了全媒体时代下科普作品的出版。

会议

科普作品图书出版全媒体时代传播效果

Effects of cloud microphysics on monsoon convective system and its formation environments over the S

会议

Hyperspectral characteristics and growth monitoring of rice (Oryza sativa) under asymmetric warming

会议

The 4D-Var assimilation of ozone-sensitive infrared radiances measured by IASI

会议

IR radiancesozone4DVARNWP

The Roles of Asymmetric Inflow Forcing Induced by Outer Rainbands in Tropical Cyclone Secondary Eyew

This study analyzes the secondary eycwall formation (SEF) process in an idealized cloud-resolving simu lation of a tropical cyclone.In particular, the unbalanced boundary layer response to asymmetric

会议

Considerable Model-Data Mismatch in Temperature over China during the Mid-Holocene: Results of PMIP

Using the experiments undertaken by 36 climate models participating in the Paleoclimate Modeling In tcrcomparison Project (PMIP), this study examines annual and seasonal surface temperatures over Chin

会议

华中区域地面温度变化的模拟评估及其未来情景预估

其他学术论文