【摘 要】
：
Death in old age is inevitable, but death before old age is not. Even in low-income countries, at current death rates, three-quarters of newborn infants would survive to age 50, and half would survive
【机 构】
：
Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Heal
【出 处】
：
2017精准健康和精准营养国际研讨会
论文部分内容阅读
Death in old age is inevitable, but death before old age is not. Even in low-income countries, at current death rates, three-quarters of newborn infants would survive to age 50, and half would survive to age 70. If disease control keeps progressing and economic development proceeds, within the next few decades—except where disasters or new epidemics supervene—under-50 mortality should fall to less than half of today’s 15% global risk, and under-70 mortality should be less than one in six.
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