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思想期货市场又名“预见交易所”,交易的是对科学、政治、社会学和文化等领域当代尚未解决的重大问题的判断。这一市场在短短几年时间里已经从理论概念发展成为一种确实存在的交易方式,它将产生巨大的经济效益和社会效益:科学家和那些资助他们的机构可以通过率先买卖新的科学信息而获得大量利润,因而鼓励人们对课题进行更多的研究,使科学研究越来越多地受市场驱动;新的科学信息全面、迅速地反映在价格上,从而能为当前尚未解决的主要问题不断提供科学界多数人的观点:将产生高效的集资过程:能够预见科学争论的重大结果。从“假钞”交易到现金交易的转变则是这个前景远大的发明创新的下一个发展阶段。
The idea futures market is also known as “foreseeing an exchange”, and deals in the judgment of major unsolved issues in science, politics, sociology, and culture. This market has evolved from a theoretical concept into a real transaction in just a few years. It will produce enormous economic and social benefits: Scientists and institutions that finance them can take the lead in buying and selling new scientific information. With a large amount of profits, people are encouraged to do more research on the subject, and scientific research is increasingly driven by the market; new scientific information is comprehensively and quickly reflected in prices, which can be the main problem that has not yet been solved. Continuously provide the opinion of the majority of the scientific community: It will produce an efficient fund-raising process: It can anticipate the major results of scientific disputes. The transition from “counterfeit banknote” transactions to cash transactions is the next stage of development for this promising new invention.